Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -750 UNCO +510 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -5.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -6.4 (+7.6) | 158.9 (-6.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -7.0 (+7.0) | 154.4 (-2.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -6.9 (+7.1) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -10.7 (+3.3) | 155.0 (-3.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | WSU 82 – 56 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#89) | 6.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#121) | 1.03 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#113) | 1.74 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#34) | 0.706 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 38.0% |
Game Analysis
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