Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -3000 MONM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -23.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -20.4 (-16.4) | 157.4 (-21.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -21.2 (-17.2) | 157.7 (-21.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -16.5 (-12.5) | 155.6 (-19.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -15.1 (-11.1) | 154.6 (-18.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#79) | -11.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#37) | -2.01 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#37) | -2.98 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#93) | 0.357 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 33.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 59.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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