Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GW -6000 NJIT +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GW -31.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -27.1 (-7.1) | 134.7 (+13.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -28.3 (-8.3) | 137.5 (+10.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -23.8 (-3.8) | 138.3 (+9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -24.5 (-4.5) | 138.6 (+9.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#83) | -19.0 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#60) | -4.23 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#63) | -6.05 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#59) | 0.190 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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