Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | APP -425 QUC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +12 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | APP -4.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -0.2 (+11.8) | 140.6 (-22.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APP -1.7 (+10.3) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -1.8 (+10.2) | 134.1 (-16.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -3.5 (+8.5) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | APP 93 – 81 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#351) | -9.7 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#356) | -0.32 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.03 (#359) | -0.61 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#283) | 0.552 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 26.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 11.5% |
Game Analysis
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