Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +215 APP -267 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +12 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -7.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -5.8 (-6.2) | 146.6 (+27.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -4.0 (-8.0) | 145.9 (+28.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -4.5 (-7.5) | 146.1 (+27.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -4.1 (-7.9) | 148.5 (+25.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | APP 65 – 53 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-3 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-16 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#270) | 6.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#203) | 1.73 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#216) | 2.24 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#219) | 0.605 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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