Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–8 on winners spread MAE 9.4 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Virginia +3.6 128.4 68% 38–60 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +5.6 139.1 69% 64–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +9.3 149.0 84% 66–73 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +1.9 154.6 65% 58–84 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State +0.5 141.4 50% 75–71 ✗
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +7.5 132.7 83% 65–77 ✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central +11.5 143.5 86% 79–72 ✗
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -7.7 130.2 24% 60–69 ✗
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +19.3 139.8 90% 51–77 ✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State +1.4 136.8 52% 78–67 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +9.1 135.9 77% 53–62 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M -1.9 147.1 39% 68–72 ✗
Kansas @ Kansas State -4.3 142.6 36% 70–75 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State +2.2 132.6 61% 61–45 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +3.8 158.5 71% 74–75 ✓
Southern @ Jackson State -0.1 144.9 52% 72–63 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State -2.7 145.8 38% 90–77 ✓
Ole Miss @ South Carolina +6.0 136.3 73% 65–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Maryland +5.3 124.8 69% 56–53 ✗
DePaul @ St. John's +22.1 144.0 91% 57–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.