The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 7.5 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Louisiana Tech @ Ole Miss +1.8 130.2 50% 70–61 ✗
Rutgers @ Clemson -1.0 127.3 44% 60–56 ✓
Syracuse @ San Diego State +2.6 136.7 61% 78–62 ✗
Winthrop @ Villanova +5.3 142.5 66% 63–73 ✓
Morehead State @ West Virginia +8.3 140.3 82% 67–84 ✓
Dayton @ Memphis +3.8 140.2 67% 60–71 ✓
Georgetown @ Colorado +4.7 134.3 67% 73–96 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Florida State +6.6 138.5 73% 54–64 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Kansas +6.5 137.1 74% 84–93 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ LSU +0.1 141.5 51% 61–76 ✓
Texas Southern @ Michigan +17.9 141.4 87% 66–82 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Creighton +5.1 137.6 66% 62–63 ✓
Iona @ Alabama +13.0 143.5 86% 55–68 ✓
Drake @ USC +5.1 136.9 68% 56–72 ✓
Mississippi State @ Saint Louis +2.7 137.2 56% 74–68 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Iowa +12.4 142.8 84% 74–86 ✓
Maryland @ UConn +2.6 134.1 64% 63–54 ✗
Ohio @ Virginia +5.7 130.1 70% 62–58 ✗
Missouri @ Oklahoma +0.9 141.2 53% 68–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.