I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
(7) Clemson Tigers
56 60
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(10) Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Neutral) · March 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Money CLEM +138 / RUTG -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual RUTG +4 116 Lost
Massey RUTG -1.5 (-2.5)
Massey Totals 122.7 (-6.7)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 49%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.3 (-3.7) 127.5 (-11.5) 41%
Model 4 ML RUTG -0.6 (-3.4) 126.3 (-10.3) 48%
Model 3 ML RUTG -0.7 (-3.3) 126.5 (-10.5) 54%
Baseline ML RUTG -0.3 (-3.7) 126.2 (-10.2) 41%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 1, 2021 RUTG 7464 CLEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM RUTG
Overall 16-8 16-12
Conference 10-6 10-10
Home 11-1 10-4
Away 2-5 4-6
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.9 69.2
Avg Pts Against 61.9 67.6
Massey 10.0 (#51) 11.5 (#36)
Bradley-Terry 2.24 (#30) 2.02 (#39)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.71 (#35) 2.74 (#33)
RPI 0.597 (#18) 0.553 (#65)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM RUTG
FG% 42.8% 45.1%
3PT% 34.6% 31.1%
REB / G 32.7 35.3
OREB / G 8.6 9.8
AST / TO 1.04 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 50.2%
TOV% 19.5% 16.5%
ORB% 26.6% 27.4%
FT Rate 18.0% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 18.9%
DRB% 73.5% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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