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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–5 on winners
spread MAE 8.9
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+19.6 | 152.3 | 89% | 55–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 143.9 | 55% | 73–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.5 | 135.4 | 61% | 0–1 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 136.0 | 54% | 53–52 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.7 | 134.7 | 63% | 71–58 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.1 | 143.2 | 73% | 63–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 151.2 | 56% | 75–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.5 | 143.7 | 61% | 66–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.6 | 131.2 | 77% | 60–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 149.5 | 77% | 81–78 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.