Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | BAY -250 WIS +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -6.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -7.0 (+6.0) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -6.0 (+7.0) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -6.1 (+6.9) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -7.1 (+5.9) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-0 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-1 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 21.6 (#2) | 15.0 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.52 (#2) | 2.21 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.45 (#2) | 3.17 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#3) | 0.546 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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