Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -163 SYR +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -2.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.0 (-5.0) | 151.6 (-4.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.2 (-5.2) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.1 (-5.1) | 151.5 (-4.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -1.9 (-4.9) | 151.2 (-4.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#23) | 11.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#10) | 1.82 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#11) | 2.35 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#5) | 0.577 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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