Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -150 UCLA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -2.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.3 (-13.3) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -1.2 (-12.2) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -1.5 (-12.5) | 144.8 (-9.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.9 (-13.9) | 143.9 (-8.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#24) | 11.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#13) | 2.11 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#14) | 2.81 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#8) | 0.578 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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