All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Lucas Oil Stadium (Neutral) · March 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -12.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money WVU -1000 / MORE +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +17 151 Won
Massey WVU -12.0 (+5.0)
Massey Totals 137.3 (+13.7)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -11.9 (+5.1) 140.3 (+10.7) 85%
Model 4 ML WVU -10.4 (+6.6) 140.4 (+10.6) 83%
Model 3 ML WVU -12.6 (+4.4) 141.0 (+10.0) 85%
Baseline ML WVU -11.0 (+6.0) 140.4 (+10.6) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2022 WVU 7557 MORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU MORE
Overall 19-10 23-8
Conference 11-6 17-3
Home 8-5 12-1
Away 7-2 8-5
Neutral 4-3 3-2
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 68.1
Avg Pts Against 72.0 64.7
Massey 13.6 (#27) 1.6 (#138)
Bradley-Terry 2.87 (#11) 1.08 (#87)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.63 (#11) 1.01 (#102)
RPI 0.619 (#8) 0.566 (#49)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU MORE
FG% 42.8% 45.9%
3PT% 35.7% 34.7%
REB / G 38.3 37.1
OREB / G 13.6 10.1
AST / TO 1.14 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 51.9%
TOV% 17.0% 23.0%
ORB% 35.8% 31.3%
FT Rate 28.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 17.9%
DRB% 68.6% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 15.7%

Game Analysis

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