Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -110 SBU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -0.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.3 (+15.3) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.0 (+15.0) | 141.3 (-4.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.4 (+15.4) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -0.1 (+14.9) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#23) | 13.2 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#29) | 2.18 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#28) | 2.84 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#28) | 0.592 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.