Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KU -600 EWU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +9 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -7.2 (+1.8) | 136.8 (+40.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.7 (+2.3) | 138.3 (+38.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -6.4 (+2.6) | 139.6 (+37.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.5 (+2.5) | 137.1 (+39.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#19) | 5.1 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#8) | 0.42 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#12) | 0.73 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#23) | 0.551 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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