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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
19–6 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
25 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coppin State
@
Georgetown
|
+26.1 | 132.8 | 91% | 53–83 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Maryland
|
+36.7 | 148.4 | 91% | 66–81 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Louisville
|
+15.2 | 150.7 | 88% | 76–78 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Saint Joseph's
|
+15.0 | 147.6 | 88% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Memphis
|
+2.7 | 146.7 | 39% | 70–87 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
North Carolina A&T
|
+0.4 | 151.2 | 54% | 72–85 | ✓ |
Mercer
@
Georgia State
|
+0.8 | 155.6 | 51% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
George Mason
|
+14.0 | 138.8 | 85% | 56–64 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Georgia Tech
|
+20.4 | 148.7 | 91% | 49–92 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
DePaul
|
+15.0 | 143.2 | 87% | 65–84 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Syracuse
|
+10.0 | 151.0 | 81% | 63–75 | ✓ |
Eastern Michigan
@
Davidson
|
+14.6 | 144.6 | 88% | 64–86 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Colorado State
|
+1.0 | 153.6 | 48% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Abilene Christian
@
Texas A&M
|
+19.3 | 133.8 | 89% | 54–92 | ✓ |
Gonzaga
@
UCLA
|
-0.2 | 147.1 | 52% | 62–65 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
Wyoming
|
-4.5 | 134.9 | 35% | 63–66 | ✗ |
Fairfield
@
Columbia
|
+15.5 | 149.6 | 88% | 72–85 | ✓ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Boston College
|
+9.2 | 149.1 | 80% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Hampton
|
+6.6 | 141.8 | 73% | 67–83 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
San José State
|
-5.2 | 144.0 | 27% | 73–71 | ✓ |
New Orleans
@
McNeese
|
+16.1 | 138.6 | 89% | 61–86 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
San Diego State
|
+0.0 | 140.0 | 50% | 67–66 | ✗ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Richmond
|
+0.7 | 141.5 | 49% | 75–57 | ✗ |
Delaware
@
St. John's
|
+22.9 | 159.1 | 90% | 76–97 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
San Diego
|
-9.4 | 144.1 | 21% | 68–55 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.