Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -5000 L-MD +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -16.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -15.0 (+4.0) | 143.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -12.2 (+6.8) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -13.2 (+5.8) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -14.4 (+4.6) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | DEP 72 – 66 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#80) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#131) | -0.63 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#110) | -0.86 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#147) | 0.467 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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