Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -20000 DEL +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +21 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -23.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -22.9 (-1.9) | 159.1 (+13.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -21.3 (-0.3) | 161.0 (+12.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -19.8 (+1.2) | 158.6 (+14.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -21.8 (-0.8) | 158.6 (+14.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 19-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#26) | -4.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#38) | -0.77 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#28) | -0.93 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#23) | 0.433 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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