They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Southland Conference · Townsley Law Arena · December 28, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MCN -23.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money MCN -10000 / UNO +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total MCN win
Actual MCN +25 147 Won
Massey MCN -21.6 (+3.4)
Massey Totals 142.0 (+5.0)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML MCN -19.3 (+5.7) 138.4 (+8.6) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML MCN -15.1 (+9.9) 137.7 (+9.3) 89%
Baseline ML MCN -16.4 (+8.6) 138.7 (+8.3) 89%
Baseline Plus ML MCN -16.1 (+8.9) 138.6 (+8.4) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 MCN 6663 UNO
Jan 24, 2026 MCN 8263 UNO
Feb 15, 2025 MCN 7864 UNO
Mar 7, 2024 MCN 8157 UNO
Jan 27, 2024 MCN 10265 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MCN UNO
Overall 28-7 4-27
Conference 19-1 2-18
Home 15-1 0-11
Away 10-2 3-15
Neutral 3-4 1-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L13
Avg Pts For 74.7 67.9
Avg Pts Against 64.5 82.5
Massey 6.0 (#89) -11.3 (#338)
Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#117) -1.24 (#287)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#101) -1.76 (#284)
RPI 0.581 (#55) 0.466 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors MCN UNO
FG% 43.8% 38.5%
3PT% 27.2% 30.2%
REB / G 33.6 35.9
OREB / G 10.4 12.5
AST / TO 0.78 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 43.8%
TOV% 17.3% 18.1%
ORB% 30.7% 30.4%
FT Rate 27.6% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 16.7%
DRB% 69.1% 62.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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