Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BC -1800 FDU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BC -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -12.7 (-4.7) | 147.2 (+0.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -8.7 (-0.7) | 148.4 (-0.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -9.2 (-1.2) | 149.3 (-1.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -9.2 (-1.2) | 149.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | BC 72 – 61 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#222) | -9.5 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#153) | -2.08 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#172) | -2.75 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#149) | 0.392 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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