← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

11–10 on winners spread MAE 7.1 21 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Florida Gulf Coast @ Queens University	-1.7	152.0	44%	55–61	✗
Bellarmine @ North Florida	+1.6	142.8	56%	76–74	✗
North Carolina @ Florida State	-9.3	153.4	20%	77–66	✓
Coppin State @ Delaware State	+2.1	152.8	58%	82–72	✗
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central	+3.9	140.9	64%	75–76	✓
Howard @ South Carolina State	-3.4	158.6	38%	82–78	✓
Southern @ Florida A&M	-6.6	132.1	27%	60–58	✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman	-8.5	134.3	22%	66–54	✓
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore	+7.4	137.7	75%	68–61	✗
Weber State @ Northern Arizona	+2.0	134.3	57%	90–89	✗
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado	+4.4	148.8	66%	72–87	✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma State	-0.9	142.9	47%	74–68	✓
West Virginia @ Iowa State	+3.3	133.2	62%	72–69	✗
Nevada @ Wyoming	-7.0	137.6	26%	71–80	✗
Montana @ Idaho	-3.4	139.5	38%	68–53	✓
Montana State @ Eastern Washington	+3.1	141.1	61%	79–74	✗
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State	+0.6	138.3	52%	57–61	✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State	+6.1	143.5	71%	81–89	✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State	+3.1	145.3	61%	76–74	✗
Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina	+1.0	138.0	54%	86–69	✗
Marquette @ Butler	-6.7	141.8	27%	72–56	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.