Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -125 MTST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -3.0 (-8.0) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -1.7 (-6.7) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.6 (-8.6) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.3 (-8.3) | 143.9 (+9.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#128) | 3.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#95) | 0.67 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#106) | 0.77 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.551 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.