Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -333 MORG +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -7.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -6.1 (-13.1) | 142.0 (-13.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -5.4 (-12.4) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -5.9 (-12.9) | 141.1 (-12.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -5.8 (-12.8) | 142.2 (-13.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORG 79 – 71 UMES |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UMES 66 – 49 MORG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORG 75 – 72 UMES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MORG 76 – 63 UMES |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MORG 70 – 65 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#239) | -7.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#163) | -0.77 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#179) | -1.24 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#135) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.