Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +260 SOU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -6.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -5.1 (+3.1) | 133.9 (-15.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -5.8 (+3.8) | 130.3 (-12.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -4.7 (+2.7) | 132.4 (-14.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -4.9 (+2.9) | 133.0 (-15.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-7 | 9-2 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#356) | -4.7 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#355) | -1.08 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#355) | -1.43 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#350) | 0.463 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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