Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -115 PV -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -0.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.1 (+3.9) | 142.1 (-24.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -0.6 (+3.4) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.8 (+3.2) | 140.2 (-22.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.7 (+3.3) | 142.0 (-24.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#319) | -5.6 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#298) | -1.33 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#317) | -1.44 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#290) | 0.435 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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