Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -163 NORF +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -2.1 (-1.1) | 138.7 (+12.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -2.0 (-1.0) | 136.0 (+15.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -2.4 (-1.4) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.4 (-1.4) | 142.1 (+8.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NORF 75 – 68 NCCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NCCU 69 – 67 NORF |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NCCU 91 – 87 NORF |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NORF 81 – 78 NCCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NORF 80 – 74 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#172) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#194) | 0.41 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#176) | 0.30 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#159) | 0.539 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.