Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -138 ARST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARST +17 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -0.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.6 (-17.6) | 136.3 (+18.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.6 (-17.6) | 133.4 (+21.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -0.3 (-17.3) | 136.1 (+18.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.3 (-17.3) | 137.5 (+17.5) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ARST 70 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | ARST 97 – 67 CCU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARST 71 – 60 CCU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ARST 73 – 57 CCU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | CCU 74 – 69 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#286) | -7.4 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#274) | -1.37 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#292) | -1.74 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#280) | 0.413 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.