Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +310 MARQ -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +16 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -6.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -5.0 (-11.0) | 141.5 (-13.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -6.3 (-9.7) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -5.3 (-10.7) | 142.0 (-14.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -5.1 (-10.9) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#106) | 14.3 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#108) | 2.67 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#105) | 3.47 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.595 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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