Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +250 HOW -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -4.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -3.9 (-0.1) | 153.9 (+6.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -2.9 (-1.1) | 152.3 (+7.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -3.6 (-0.4) | 157.4 (+2.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -3.8 (-0.2) | 156.4 (+3.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 11-3 |
| Home | 4-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-19 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#347) | -4.7 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#335) | -0.18 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#338) | -0.56 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#330) | 0.495 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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