Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BCU +275 GRAM -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +12 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -9.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -8.2 (-3.8) | 138.2 (-18.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -7.2 (-4.8) | 134.8 (-14.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.0 (-4.0) | 136.5 (-16.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -7.7 (-4.3) | 136.7 (-16.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#355) | -1.6 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#327) | 0.14 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#337) | 0.22 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#347) | 0.511 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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