Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -133 FGCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -1.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-34.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.8 (+7.8) | 148.2 (-32.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.4 (+7.4) | 146.0 (-30.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.6 (+7.6) | 147.6 (-31.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.2 (+8.2) | 149.3 (-33.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#176) | 0.07 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#190) | 0.29 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#192) | 0.513 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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