Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +163 MONT -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +15 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -3.8 (-11.2) | 138.6 (-17.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -4.2 (-10.8) | 133.5 (-12.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.5 (-11.5) | 138.0 (-17.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -3.5 (-11.5) | 138.6 (-17.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#284) | 0.5 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#321) | -0.02 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#314) | 0.09 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#355) | 0.517 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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