Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -163 SAC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -2.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -1.3 (-3.3) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -2.1 (-4.1) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.1 (-4.1) | 146.1 (+3.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.0 (-4.0) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#238) | -3.0 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#245) | -0.71 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#249) | -0.82 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#256) | 0.471 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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