Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -138 WEB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +1 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -1.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+44.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -0.6 (-1.6) | 136.1 (+42.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.9 (-0.1) | 133.2 (+45.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -1.4 (-2.4) | 137.6 (+41.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -0.9 (-1.9) | 138.8 (+40.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -1.8 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#291) | -0.17 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#267) | -0.44 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#299) | 0.485 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.