Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +170 NEV -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -6.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -7.5 (+16.5) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -5.4 (+14.4) | 135.4 (+15.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -6.3 (+15.3) | 137.2 (+13.8) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -6.5 (+15.5) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | 10.5 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#239) | 2.34 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#218) | 2.61 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#239) | 0.623 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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