← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

16–5 on winners spread MAE 10.7 21 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Northwestern State @ Nicholls	+10.5	155.9	83%	71–87	✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell	-1.3	138.7	45%	57–63	✗
Longwood @ UNC Asheville	+4.4	138.1	66%	77–61	✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska	-6.6	136.5	27%	51–72	✗
North Carolina @ Syracuse	+0.8	149.2	53%	70–72	✓
Sam Houston @ Houston Christian	-9.7	154.6	19%	83–70	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar	+5.0	137.4	67%	47–66	✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word	-0.3	140.8	49%	88–72	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State	+13.6	131.7	89%	58–64	✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State	-20.5	142.4	3%	63–67	✗
Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M	-5.5	136.9	31%	68–58	✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State	+0.9	148.3	53%	75–79	✓
Arizona @ Oregon	+1.7	143.4	56%	69–80	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State	-12.2	129.5	13%	70–67	✓
Air Force @ Colorado State	+22.2	130.9	98%	44–74	✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Mexico State	+1.7	133.3	56%	51–69	✓
Akron @ Buffalo	+7.0	158.1	74%	78–80	✓
Baylor @ West Virginia	-5.6	153.6	31%	94–89	✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan	-16.8	161.7	6%	79–81	✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh	+8.7	138.7	78%	57–70	✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina	-9.1	158.2	20%	101–73	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.