I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–8 on winners spread MAE 10.0 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kent State @ Illinois State +5.2 152.0 68% 58–79 ✓
George Washington @ Utah Valley +2.2 148.4 58% 79–78 ✗
Dayton @ Bradley -0.1 142.6 41% 80–66 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico +12.6 154.2 83% 83–107 ✓
Miami (OH) @ SMU +6.9 156.3 74% 89–79 ✗
Murray State @ Nevada +8.1 140.9 80% 75–89 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Colorado State +7.2 140.0 72% 69–64 ✗
UIC @ California +6.9 146.1 76% 73–91 ✓
TCU @ Ohio State +2.7 145.5 63% 66–64 ✗
Troy @ Nebraska +13.8 142.6 88% 47–76 ✓
South Florida @ Louisville +10.5 161.9 82% 79–83 ✓
High Point @ Wisconsin +10.5 161.4 81% 83–82 ✗
Siena @ Duke +24.7 131.1 90% 65–71 ✓
McNeese @ Vanderbilt +9.8 149.3 79% 68–78 ✓
North Dakota State @ Michigan State +15.6 142.0 88% 67–92 ✓
Hawai'i @ Arkansas +16.0 162.2 86% 78–97 ✓
VCU @ North Carolina +4.1 144.7 59% 82–78 ✗
Howard @ Michigan +23.8 149.5 90% 80–101 ✓
Texas A&M @ Saint Mary's +5.0 151.3 72% 63–50 ✗
Texas @ BYU +3.4 152.7 61% 79–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.