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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.6
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+8.9 | 147.4 | 75% | 80–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 145.6 | 74% | 84–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 156.9 | 51% | 68–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.3 | 138.4 | 61% | 52–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.2 | 150.3 | 89% | 67–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 153.5 | 73% | 75–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 145.3 | 64% | 67–55 | ✗ |
|
|
+13.1 | 142.2 | 87% | 72–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.