This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 9.6 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Illinois +23.7 151.3 90% 70–105 ✓
Saint Louis @ Georgia +3.9 167.2 69% 102–77 ✗
Idaho @ Houston +20.8 134.5 90% 47–78 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Gonzaga +18.2 151.2 90% 64–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Kentucky +2.3 151.0 61% 84–89 ✓
Akron @ Texas Tech +10.3 151.8 81% 71–91 ✓
Long Island University @ Arizona +24.0 150.1 90% 58–92 ✓
Wright State @ Virginia +15.4 147.5 89% 73–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Iowa State +24.4 144.4 90% 74–108 ✓
Hofstra @ Alabama +16.1 168.0 85% 70–90 ✓
Utah State @ Villanova +0.8 142.9 56% 86–76 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Tennessee +10.6 147.4 84% 56–78 ✓
Iowa @ Clemson -0.8 129.2 43% 67–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ St. John's +11.3 131.1 83% 53–79 ✓
UCF @ UCLA +2.9 145.9 63% 71–75 ✓
Queens University @ Purdue +23.8 156.3 90% 71–104 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.