Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -130 SLU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +25 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -1.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.6 (-25.6) | 166.5 (+12.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -2.2 (-27.2) | 167.0 (+12.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.4 (-26.4) | 166.6 (+12.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.9 (-25.9) | 165.7 (+13.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 19-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#23) | 16.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#36) | 2.33 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#30) | 2.86 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#45) | 0.602 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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