Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -550 M-OH +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -11.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -8.0 (+14.0) | 148.8 (-14.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -8.7 (+13.3) | 148.8 (-14.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -8.4 (+13.6) | 148.6 (-14.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -8.3 (+13.7) | 146.8 (-12.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 18-0 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-5 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#16) | 7.3 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#24) | 3.14 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#20) | 3.63 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#37) | 0.592 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 45.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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