Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -3200 KENN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -22.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -21.7 (-12.7) | 151.7 (-14.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GONZ -18.2 (-9.2) | 151.2 (-14.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GONZ -20.1 (-11.1) | 149.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -21.6 (-12.6) | 149.4 (-12.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 22.5 (#8) | 0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#6) | 0.15 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.72 (#6) | 0.17 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#12) | 0.508 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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