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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 13.9
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida
|
+25.7 | 156.2 | 90% | 55–114 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Kansas
|
+15.5 | 139.1 | 85% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Miami
|
+1.8 | 145.8 | 65% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Furman
@
UConn
|
+16.6 | 132.5 | 90% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Michigan
|
+13.1 | 159.6 | 87% | 72–95 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Michigan State
|
+1.4 | 150.5 | 61% | 69–77 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Duke
|
+13.5 | 137.7 | 88% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+9.9 | 143.8 | 81% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+0.5 | 135.6 | 47% | 80–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Gonzaga
|
+8.3 | 141.1 | 82% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.