Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -35.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -100000 PV +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +59 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -34.4 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -17.3 (+41.7) | 148.1 (+20.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -19.8 (+39.2) | 154.6 (+14.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -23.5 (+35.5) | 149.4 (+19.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -21.6 (+37.4) | 149.3 (+19.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 24.8 (#4) | -9.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#7) | -1.13 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.89 (#5) | -1.39 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#6) | 0.466 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 45.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 43.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.