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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.3
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.0 | 151.3 | 78% | 55–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.8 | 143.9 | 74% | 63–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 142.8 | 43% | 72–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.3 | 166.3 | 80% | 88–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.8 | 142.6 | 79% | 69–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.9 | 146.2 | 78% | 63–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.5 | 143.6 | 73% | 78–75 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.5 | 144.5 | 38% | 67–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 138.9 | 57% | 79–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.6 | 143.2 | 87% | 85–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 161.5 | 76% | 66–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.5 | 139.9 | 82% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.