Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -238 UK +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -7.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -7.4 (+11.6) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -5.8 (+13.2) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.4 (+12.6) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -7.4 (+11.6) | 146.6 (-1.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 24.3 (#5) | 17.0 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#7) | 2.69 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.51 (#10) | 3.47 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#21) | 0.581 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.