Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -800 SLU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +23 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -11.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.1 (+12.9) | 158.0 (+9.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -9.4 (+13.6) | 159.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.1 (+12.9) | 156.9 (+10.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -9.7 (+13.3) | 159.7 (+7.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 19-0 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 28.6 (#1) | 16.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#3) | 2.47 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.16 (#3) | 3.15 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#2) | 0.607 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 59.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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