Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -20000 HOW +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +21 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -30.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -29.6 (-8.6) | 149.5 (+31.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MICH -23.8 (-2.8) | 149.5 (+31.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MICH -22.2 (-1.2) | 145.9 (+35.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -27.9 (-6.9) | 147.8 (+33.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 11-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 28.8 (#1) | -2.0 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.86 (#3) | -0.55 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.16 (#3) | -0.76 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#2) | 0.510 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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