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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–5 on winners
spread MAE 5.7
19 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+8.3 | 142.8 | 78% | 62–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 132.5 | 75% | 64–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 139.0 | 81% | 63–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 149.1 | 50% | 86–80 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.5 | 149.6 | 82% | 72–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.2 | 144.5 | 81% | 70–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 140.4 | 39% | 73–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 148.4 | 63% | 89–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.4 | 147.5 | 80% | 63–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.9 | 150.6 | 89% | 66–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.7 | 124.9 | 90% | 40–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.6 | 146.4 | 90% | 63–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.6 | 133.3 | 71% | 69–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.9 | 142.3 | 68% | 71–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 150.9 | 79% | 68–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.5 | 139.0 | 89% | 62–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 145.9 | 63% | 79–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.3 | 141.2 | 81% | 71–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 132.5 | 50% | 67–57 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.