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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Utah State
@
UCLA
|
+2.8 | 135.8 | 68% | 47–72 | ✓ |
Omaha
@
St. John's
|
+20.2 | 145.6 | 90% | 53–83 | ✓ |
UC San Diego
@
Michigan
|
+3.8 | 139.0 | 68% | 65–68 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Texas Tech
|
+14.7 | 146.1 | 88% | 72–82 | ✓ |
Baylor
@
Mississippi State
|
+0.0 | 145.9 | 43% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Robert Morris
@
Alabama
|
+19.8 | 166.8 | 90% | 81–90 | ✓ |
Lipscomb
@
Iowa State
|
+16.5 | 145.7 | 87% | 55–82 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
Memphis
|
-0.4 | 142.5 | 48% | 78–70 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
Duke
|
+24.1 | 139.5 | 90% | 49–93 | ✓ |
Vanderbilt
@
Saint Mary's
|
+6.0 | 131.1 | 73% | 56–59 | ✓ |
North Carolina
@
Ole Miss
|
+0.6 | 151.4 | 48% | 64–71 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Maryland
|
+13.0 | 149.3 | 85% | 49–81 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Florida
|
+23.3 | 154.6 | 90% | 69–95 | ✓ |
Troy
@
Kentucky
|
+14.3 | 150.6 | 84% | 57–76 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Marquette
|
+3.3 | 149.1 | 57% | 75–66 | ✗ |
Akron
@
Arizona
|
+13.9 | 165.9 | 84% | 65–93 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.